Francis Marliere wrote:
If the bulk of Combined Fleet AND 5.000 elite troops leave Japan while war is about to begin, and do not show up somewhere for days, I guess that the US will find that very strange and will be much more alerted than they were historicaly.
... Historically all IJN carriers, with heavy escort, were sent for training exercises against battleship-sized targets in Oct 1941. As I understand, the PH attacking fleet went directly from the training grounds to Pearl Harbor, without passing through major ports.
A similar operation, but on a larger scale, could have been conducted, provided that the logistical restrictions are dealt with.
the airbases are not and can recieve reinforcements.
From where ? And how would those reinforcements (bombers I suppose) pass over the IJN carriers, and how would they be left intact after landing ?
alecsandros wrote:Heavy equipment required for occupying Kauai... would not be to heavy. Artillery support could be obtained from battleships, cruisers and Vals/Kates.
As far as I understand what you wrote, the heavy equipement is for repairing a captured airbase or buidling it for scratch. And you do need heavy equipement if you want to do it quickly.
In 6 weeks time... that is the expected transit time for the heavy troop convoy, carrying the invasion force.
I suppose it would be doable, even unloading the equipment slowly from the DDs and CAs...
alecsandros wrote:IJA has to keep a strong garrison to defend Hawaii from US counter attack. Even if not all the troops don't stay in Hawaii, with the garrison and the looses, there's a shortage of land forces to attack SE Asia. May your scenario assumes that IJA has more division than it had historicaly ?
I was thinking some of the Kuantung army could be redeployed to attack SE Asia, especialy as the Russians were clearly completely involved in the west, fighting the Germans...
Kuantung army had some 1.000.000 Japanese troops... equipment... etc.
What did this army accomplish between 1942 and 1944 ? Couldn't 100.000 men (10%) be redeployed for SE Asia, provided that the fuel, ammo, and other logistical problems had been met ?