Karl Heidenreich wrote:The general perception previous to the defeat at Gettysburg was that the Union was losing. Remember that the burden of victory was on the Union side whilst the South only had to resist. Prior to the summer of 1863 the Union was kicked hardly everywhere, specially at Fredricksburg and Chancerlorsville: Lee was the commander with the aura and Meade was just a substitute of McLellan, Burnside and Hooker which was releived anyway after Gettysburg. Sam Grant was in the Missisippi and the general consencus was that the Union only had morons as CiC. Of course that changed after Grant got appointed and got himself extracted of Washington and kicked out the Secretary of War from field activities.
but... in summer 1863 still the idea was that the Confederacy was good at fighting and the Union was ISAF (I suck at fighting) and were prone to get kicked. A Confederate victory nearby Washington could also have produced an impeachment at the Congress and settling a peace. Lee carried a letter from Jefferson Davis to Lincoln. I think it plausible.
Karl Heidenreich wrote:
The Civil war had many enemies in the North, many that do not believe it was worth fighting, which is a common US characteristic.
tommy303 wrote:I know the South hoped that a major Union defeat on its own soil might bring about Northern acceptance of Southern independence, but it all depends on if Davis correctly predicted the Northern will to fight. A Northern defeat at Gettysburg might have had the opposite effect.
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